December 16 – December 20 Week in review

The markets continued their winning ways for the 4th consecutive week last week. The S&P 500 reached another record high, gaining 1.7% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, up 1.1%, and Nasdaq Composite, up 2.2%, also rallied further into record territory. The Russell 2000 kept pace with a solid 2.1% weekly gain and is now within 5% of its August 2018 closing high.

Last week’s action was more the result of a lack of bad news than any good news per se. Better than expected November readings for housing starts, building permits, industrial production, personal income, and personal spending all helped reinforce the market's positive economic outlook. Homebuilder confidence even rose to its highest level since 1999, at least according to the NAHB Housing Market Index.

Video 12.23.2019

All 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher, with the utilities, real estate, communication services, energy, and health care sectors rising more than 2.0%. The industrials sector underperformed amid losses in FedEx and Boeing.

FedEx issued disappointed earnings results and guidance, while Boeing said it will suspend 737 MAX production starting in January. In other corporate news last week featured plenty of M&A activity. The largest deal was DuPont agreeing to merge its Nutrition & Biosciences unit with International Flavors in a combined $45.4 billion deal.

In Washington, the House of Representatives passed the USMCA deal and voted to impeach President Trump. Not surprisingly neither had much influence on the broader market, as both outcomes were expected and the consensus view is that the Senate will ensure Mr. Trump stays in office.

In other political news almost 24 hours to the moment when President Donald Trump was impeached by the House, the seven top Democratic candidates running to replace him debated one another in Los Angeles on Thursday night.

U.S. Treasuries declined last week amid the risk-on sentiment, driving yields higher in a curve steepening trade. The 2 year yield increased three basis points to 1.63%, and the 10 year yield increased ten basis points to 1.92%.

In other markets the U.S. Dollar Index rose 0.6% to 97.70 and WTI crude increased 0.5%, or $0.27, to $60.38 a barrel.

December 23 – December 27 Economic Calendar

  • Monday
  • Durable Goods Orders
    8:30 AM ET
  • Chicago Fed National Activity Index
    8:30 AM ET
  • New Home Sales
    10:00 AM ET
  • Survey of Business Uncertainty
    11:00 AM ET
  • Tuesday
  • Redbook
    8:55 AM ET
  • Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
    10:00 AM ET
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Jobless Claims
    8:30 AM ET
  • State Street Investor Confidence Index
    10:00 AM ET
  • Fed Balance Sheet
    4:30 PM ET
  • Money Supply
    4:30 PM ET
    • Friday
    • EIA Natural Gas Report
      10:30 AM ET
    • EIA Petroleum Status Report
      11:00 AM ET
    • Baker-Hughes Rig Count
      1:00 PM ET
    • Farm Prices
      3:00 PM ET

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT A GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS. This commentary is a matter of opinion and is for informational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice and does not address or account for individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on the client's specific financial needs, goals and objectives, time horizon and risk tolerance. The statements contained herein are based solely upon the opinions of Telemus Capital, LLC. All opinions and views constitute our judgments as of the date of writing and are subject to change at any time without notice. Information was obtained from third party sources, which we believe to be reliable, but not guaranteed.

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