The First 100 Days

     

    As we approach the end of the first 100 days of the Biden administration, we have a greater degree of clarity regarding the priorities and goals of the current administration and Congress.

    We have already seen the passing of a $1.9 trillion economic stimulus/recovery package and a proposed $2 trillion infrastructure spending plan. Though some states have mounted legal challenges regarding provisions in the stimulus bill, it has nevertheless been signed and enacted. The infrastructure bill, called the “American Jobs Plan,” has not been passed yet, but there seems to be confidence that some form of the bill will become law.

    Unlike the stimulus bill, the infrastructure bill contains revenue-raising provisions to partially offset its cost by increasing corporate tax revenues — particularly from multinational corporations that book profits overseas — over the next 15 years. As is typically the case with the federal government, the passage of spending bills is often soon followed by increasing taxes to pay for such expenditures. While no one knows what exactly those revenue/tax enhancements will look like, we can identify a pattern in the following proposals and position statements from the Biden administration:

    • When Biden proposed the “American Jobs Plan” to invest in our infrastructure, he also mentioned the “American Family Plan.” This plan is primarily viewed as a revenue-enhancement package that changes who will be responsible for paying for the needed updates to the existing tax structure. Biden declined to provide details about this plan; all that was mentioned was it would focus on the wealthy. But based on his pre-election tax platform, the “wealthy” could refer to those earning over $400,000 per year, with an additional focus on those having income over $1 million via an increase in capital gains taxes and the elimination of the “step-up in basis” for estates. In addition, there was a nearly 50% reduction in the estate tax exemption, resulting in a significant increase in the number of families subject to the estate tax.
    • At the end of March, Senators Chris Van Hollen, Cory Booker, Bernie Sanders, Sheldon Whitehouse, and Elizabeth Warren introduced the “Sensible Taxation and Equity Promotion” (STEP) Act. The STEP Act proposes to tax any transfer of property that has a net gain associated with the transfer, either during lifetime or at death. At death, there would be an exclusion of the first $1 million of gain; however, during the giver’s lifetime, any completed transfer to a trust or to any individual other than a spouse will allow for the first $100,000 of cumulative gain to be tax-free. Once that threshold is reached, any excess will be subject to a transfer tax. Essentially, this removes the existing step-up in basis at death and creates a taxable event for most (but not all) transfers. If incorporated with the Biden removal of favorable capital gains rates, this could mean a significant tax on any non-spousal or charitable transfer of wealth.
    • In early March, both houses in Congress introduced an “Ultra-Millionaire Tax” that would tax the 100,000 wealthiest households in America via an annual “net worth tax”; this tax would be levied over and above any income tax.

    The ultimate success of these new bills remains to be seen, but one can at least glean the direction in which Congress and this administration are headed. While it is unlikely these provisions would be enacted as written, it is very likely there will be a tax increase aimed at the wealthy, both from an income tax and wealth transfer tax perspective. Equally important as these potential changes to the tax law is the effective date of these changes. While most commentators believe any effective date would be after the end of 2021, the STEP Act does have a retroactive effective date and would apply to any transfers made after 1/1/2021. Just like the language itself, any final effective date is unknown and speculative at best, but this is a clear reminder that if your situation warrants planning, the sooner it is done, the better!

    This is especially true if, as a family, you have more wealth than needed to achieve your lifetime goals and you know you will eventually want to transfer wealth. If that is the case, now is the best time to consider your options in light of potential future changes to wealth transfer and income taxes under the Biden administration. There are creative ways to hedge the unknown that make now an imperative time to plan.

     

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    Andrew Bass

    Andrew has been a member of the Telemus team since its inception in 2005. As the Chief Wealth Officer, Andrew is responsible for all strategic financial and life management services. He works with high-net-worth members to ensure their financial life plans are designed to achieve realistic goals in both the short and long term.

    Andrew Bass abass@telemus.com
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